WATCHPTTEP.BK
77% confPTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited฿154.00
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited (PTTEP.BK) — MoS 35% + P/E 8.8×.
- TARGET
- ฿237.13+54.0%
- STOP
- ฿149.52-2.9%
- R:R
- 18.6 : 1
WHAT TO TRADE NOW20WATCH4AVOID71% avg conf
2026-09-15 · PICKS CACHETHE FULL SCREEN →
WATCHBJC.BK
77% confBerli Jucker Public Company Limited฿16.90
Berli Jucker Public Company Limited (BJC.BK) — MoS 45% + P/E 11.6×.
- TARGET
- ฿31.00+83.4%
- STOP
- ฿15.37-9.0%
- R:R
- 9.2 : 1
WATCHPTT.BK
77% confPTT Public Company Limited฿42.75
PTT Public Company Limited (PTT.BK) — MoS 33% + P/E 9.8×.
- TARGET
- ฿64.16+50.1%
- STOP
- ฿40.56-5.1%
- R:R
- 9.8 : 1
IF YOU HOLD — WHAT THE DATA SAYS TO CUT4 candidates
AVOIDDELTA.BK
63% confDelta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited฿233.00
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited (DELTA.BK) — overvalued (MoS -993%) + MACD+.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
AVOIDCPALL.BK
69% confCP ALL Public Company Limited฿45.25
CP ALL Public Company Limited (CPALL.BK) — overvalued (MoS -35%).
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
AVOIDBGRIM.BK
62% confB.Grimm Power Public Company Limited฿18.70
B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited (BGRIM.BK) — overvalued (MoS -94%) + EMA 9 > 21.
- TRIM ↑
- —
- —
- —
- R:R
- —
GLOBAL SCANNER9BEAR4 regions
2026-09-14
🇺🇸GSPC↓
S&P 5007,619.98
- 1D-0.5%20D-2.1%RSI47CONF88%
🇺🇸IXIC↓
Nasdaq26,186.41
- 1D-0.6%20D-2.0%RSI49CONF76%
🇬🇧FTSE↓
FTSE 10010,680.79
- 1D+0.4%20D-0.5%RSI45CONF76%
🇩🇪GDAXI↓
DAX25,429.91
- 1D-0.5%20D-3.4%RSI39CONF100%
🇭🇰HSI↓
Hang Seng24,667.24
- 1D+0.5%20D-2.1%RSI41CONF88%
🇯🇵N225↓
Nikkei 22563,484.1
- 1D-0.8%20D-8.3%RSI39CONF100%
🥇GC↓
Gold4,351.9
- 1D-1.3%20D-0.7%RSI47CONF88%
🥈SI↓
Silver63.51
- 1D-1.6%20D-2.3%RSI45CONF88%
🇰🇷KS11↓
KOSPI6,684.37
- 1D-3.3%20D-4.2%RSI47CONF55%
WHAT TO WATCH3TODAY
- EMA DOWNKBANK.BKKasikornbank Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed below 21
Kasikornbank Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed below the 21-day. The trend has turned; a bounce to the 9-EMA is typically the exit for longs or the short entry.
- EMA DOWNBBL.BKBangkok Bank Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed below 21
Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed below the 21-day. The trend has turned; a bounce to the 9-EMA is typically the exit for longs or the short entry.
- EMA DOWNDELTA.BKDelta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company LimitedEMA 9 crossed below 21
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company Limited's 9-day EMA crossed below the 21-day. The trend has turned; a bounce to the 9-EMA is typically the exit for longs or the short entry.
MARKET EVIDENCE · WHYCOLLAPSE
SET
1,579-0.78%LIVE TAPE
S&P 500
7,620-1.28%
NASDAQ
26,186-1.21%
HANG SENG
24,667-2.57%
NIKKEI
63,484-2.55%
DAX
25,430-2.22%
FTSE 100
10,681-1.21%
USD/THB
33.22+1.00%
VIX
17.1+3.89%
FEAR&GREED
50neutralas of 2026-09-15 11:23 UTC · live via Yahoo/BOT · cached cells marked
WORLD BOARDS · 90 SESSIONS · NORMALIZEDfrom price cache · comparison, not causality
Each line starts at 0 on day 1 of the window. Toggle boards on/off. Sources: yfinance → prices.json (as-of labeled per series). · SET live quote · history cached · S&P 500 live quote · history cached · Nasdaq live quote · history cached · Hang Seng live quote · history cached · Nikkei live quote · history cached
GLOBAL FORCESWTI Crude (energy) leads SET by 1 week · moderate evidence (p=0.011).
REGIMESET is Range-bound calm — mixed signals. Smaller trades, take profits near edges.
MOODMr. Market is euphoric — prices stretched. Buffett sells here. (score -8.0).
CONSENSUSMost signals point down — the desk leans bearish. (Kronos, single opinion).
FEAR & GREEDNeutral · no strong signal
AI CAPEX · HINGE NAMES · LOADING
NEWS TAPE · HEADLINES → FORCES… · signal web →
- No headlines in this batch right now.
Batches are keyword guesses that point at force-web nodes. Headlines correlate with moves; they do not prove causation.
DAYTRADERS SIGNAL DESKNO MIDDLEMAN · SYSTEMATIC DISCOUNTS
One number. One discount. One argument.
Graham: never pay full price for a business you do not understand. The diagram is the proof — not the pitch.
SYSTEM REGIME STANCEDAILY OPERATOR GUIDANCE
MANIC · prices look generous. Do not chase. Prefer sellers.
VIX 16 · not panic. Buy-the-dip signals lost to holding across 26y SET.
ANOMALY DETECTORSET VALUATION CACHE · 2026-09-15
SETSIGNAL FOCUS
THE NUMBER TO WATCH (VOL-DEV)
22.4×
The SET market P/E — Mr. Market is paying 25% above the long average (17.9×) per baht of earnings.
Watch which side closes the gap — earnings rising into the multiple, or price coming down to it. Multiples mean-revert; the timing is unknowable.
PTTEP · PAY ↔ GRAHAM №CACHE · MOS +35%
฿100 note for ฿70 = the gap you need. Amber marks what you’d pay now.
MARGIN OF SAFETYP/E 8.8 · DEF 6/7
15%30%
PTTEP · PILLARS71/100
73
60
85
VALUE
P/E · MOS
QUALITY
BUFFETT · F · Z
ENTRY
VS GRAHAM №
KILLS ITINVALIDATION
- EPS ≤ 017.44
- MOS ≤ 0%฿154.00 / ฿237.13
- DEF < 4/76/7 · D/E 0.26×
· +35% · not advice
LIVE FIELD · TAPE + FORCE FIELD
SET ↔ NASDAQ
Confirm or kill the discount. Comparison, not causality.
LEADS
MY LENS
SET◌LIVE · time unknown
1,578.66-0.78%NASDAQ◌LIVE · time unknown
26,186-1.21%SET P/ECACHED · DAILY
22.4×EXPENSIVEFEAR & GREED✕DEMO DATA · NOT TRADEABLE
50NEUTRALRELATIVE TAPE · 90 SESSIONSSET LEADS 10.6pp
SET +11.98%NASDAQ +1.34%
Normalized closes · comparison, not causality.
THE MAGIC NUMBERS · BOTH TAPESFROM THE PRICE SERIES
METRICSETNASDAQ
RSI · 14
ATR %
VOL · 20D ANN
MAX DRAWDOWN
SHARPE
52W RANGE POS
TODAY · Z-SCORE
Real numbers, both tapes · null shows as — · comparison, not a signal.
CROSS-MARKET · MOVE MONEY?SET × NASDAQ
0.15loosely tied
0.11
-8.4pp
ρ · ROLLING 30D
Holding together — recent ρ 0.20 vs prior 0.34
When these two decouple, money can cross the ocean for a reason.
Correlation and beta over the shared window · not a signal to trade.
SET tape -0.78% today · SET model pull +4.4% / 90D · keep valuation discipline
OPEN EVIDENCE →GRAHAM STABILITY RANGEFULL SCREEN →
PTTEPPTT Exploration and Production Public Company Limited8.8×+35%6/7≈4/9≈0.071Fixed rules: MOS > 0 · defensive ≥4/7 · F-score ≥5/9. ≈ F-Score/Z are estimates from limited fundamentals.
BUMPS · OUT OF RANGELEDGER →
SETSET dropped 3.17% — a 3.22σ move for this stock3.2σPTTModel expects PTT down 17.44% but the tape ran up 6.33% over 20 days0.2σBBLModel expects Bangkok Bank down 16.56% but the tape ran up 1.05% over 20 days0.2σ
An anomaly is a question, not a trade.
NEWS · BATCHED TO FORCESFULL TAPE →
News wire loading or offline — open NEWS TAPE above for full headlinesSYSTEM · —
STATIC FALLBACK · Headlines are context, not proof. Batches point at the signal web.
ADVANCED · MARKET FORCE FIELDFULL WEB →
◐CACHED · —◐CACHED · —◐CACHED · —
BIG = HEAVY · TAUT = TIGHT · SLACK = LOOSE — TAP TO OPEN THE FULL WEB
OWNER'S ORIENTATION · PROCESSOPEN THE LONG READ
START HERE · CAPITAL MUST SURVIVE
No app can save a bad bet. A process can keep one bet from ending the game.
Protect the money you need, read the market honestly, then investigate one company at a time — as an owner, not a gambler.
PROTECT
Keep emergency cash outside the bet.FINRA suggests a 3–6 month emergency-fund goal; start with what you can.
FIND MY GAP →DISCONFIRM
Name what would prove you wrong.Look for opposing evidence before a price target. Do not use leverage with money you cannot lose.
OPEN RESEARCH →REHEARSE
Price the loss in baht before the upside.Rehearse the order, stop, and position size with paper money before real money.
REHEARSE A DECISION →GRAHAM WOULD WATCHPTTEP
35% · P/E 8.8x · 6/7 defensive tests
DID YOU KNOW?CPAXT
quality 62/100 · attention 2%
HOW TO READ THIS
These are research prompts, not buy signals. Fundamentals are simulated until filings are ingested.
OPEN THE WATCH BOARD →SAME MARKET · THREE VERDICTS
PRICE VS VALUE · SET P/E22.4x vs 17.89x
CHEAP<15FAIREXPENSIVE>20.6
VALUE · GRAHAM
DON'T BUY
Price is above value. Mr. Market is euphoric — sell to him or wait.
TRADER · MOMENTUM
RANGE
No edge from sentiment — trade levels, size small.
INVESTOR · LONG-TERM
DCA
Time in market beats timing. Keep the monthly plan, tax funds first. No lump sums at these prices.
· YOUR LENS
The data is identical. The discipline is what differs.
LIVE INTELLIGENCE · OWNER'S DESK
See the market as an owner of businesses.
Day trading here means daily discipline with enterprises — not betting tickets. Graham first; timing second; survival always.
We believe in businesses — not bets.
Entrepreneurship compounds. Gambling transfers. Graham's margin of safety is how owners stay solvent long enough to win.
READ THE CREED →ADVANCED EVIDENCE1 WATCH · 3 ODD · 1 OVERLOOKED
THE WATCH · GRAHAM'S SHORTLIST
GOOD = margin of safety + steady decade + honest books — scores ≥60 pass.
9.3 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 2
CHEAPEST HONEST SECTOR
10.7 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 3
10.4 AVG P/E
T1 PASS 1
PTTEPSTRONGEST TODAYF-SCORE
+35%
8.8
COMPOSITE71
Margin of safety +35% — price sits below the Graham Number.
Passes 6 of 7 defensive tests.
Graham never asked you to predict. He asked you to demand evidence, then wait.
A shortlist by fixed rules · re-ranked as filings change · not a recommendation.
INDUSTRIES · SET50
INDUSTRIES · SET50· GICS classification · composite-weighted
CACHE · 2026-09-15 10:00
SECTORNCOMPMOSTICKERS
Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure38Household Durables33
THE ODDITIES LEDGER
01
2026-09-14SETPRICE SHOCK
SET dropped 3.17% — a 3.22σ move for this stock
02
2026-09-14PTTMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects PTT down 17.44% but the tape ran up 6.33% over 20 days
03
2026-09-14BBLMODEL DISAGREEMENT
Model expects Bangkok Bank down 16.56% but the tape ran up 1.05% over 20 days
MONEYBALL · QUALITY VS ATTENTION
THE UNDRAFTED · HIGH QUALITY · LOW ATTENTION
CPAXTSTRONGEST TODAY622%MAGIC
How to read it: right = the crowd is trading this name harder than its own normal right now; up = stronger fundamentals (composite 0–100). The green corner — good business, crowd elsewhere — is where Graham told you to shop. Tap any dot.
The bargains are where the crowd is not looking — Graham called them the unpopular large companies.
A quadrant is a place to start reading, not a reason to act.
SECOND LOOK · THE DECADE VS THE YEAR
THE YEAR FLATTERS
NONE IN CURRENT UNIVERSE
THE YEAR HIDES
NONE IN CURRENT UNIVERSE
One good year is a costume. Seven years is a face.
EPS HISTORY SIMULATED UNTIL FILINGS INGESTED · NOT ADVICE